With all of its fanfare, the Super Bowl has become almost a national holiday anymore, with a huge amount of importance associated with the game and the activities leading up to it. And while organizing a Super Bowl can bring a windfall to the host city, there’s no reason to believe that the game itself has any effect on the United State's overall economy. But you can bet the traders down on Wall Street are very aware of the Super Bowl Theory.
The Super Bowl Theory holds that a victory by an NFC team or an original (pre-1970 merger) NFL team --the Browns, Colts, or Steelers-- point to a bullish market the following year. An AFC victory signals a bearish drop in the market. The Super Bowl Theory has accurately forecasted the stock market 31 times.
The following list contains the year/Super bowl - (market indicator) winning team, and conference.
* incorrect
1967/I - (Up) Packers, NFL
1968/II - (Up) Packers, NFL
1969/III - (Down) Jets, AFL
1970/IV - (Up) Chiefs, AFL*
1971/V - (Up) Colts, Old NFL
1972/VI - (Up) Cowboys, NFC
1973/VII - (Down) Dolphins, AFC
1974/VIII - (Down) Dolphins, AFC
1975/IX - (Up) Steelers, Old NFL
1976/X - (Up) Steelers, Old NFL
1977/XI - (Down) Raiders, AFC
1978/XII - (Down) Cowboys, NFC*
1979/XIII - (Up) Steelers, Old NFL
1980/XIV - (Up) Steelers, Old NFL
1981/XV - (Down) Raiders, AFC
1982/XVI - (Up) 49ers, NFC
1983/XVII - (Up) Redskins, NFC
1984/XVIII - (Down) Raiders, AFC
1985/XIX - (Up) 49ers, NFC
1986/XX - (Up) Bears, NFC
1987/XXI - (Up) Giants, NFC
1988/XXII - (Up) Redskins, NFC
1989/XXIII - (Up) 49ers, NFC
1990/XXIV - (Down) 49ers, NFC*
1991/XXV - (Up) Giants, NFC
1992/XXVI - (Up) Redskins, NFC
1993/XXVII - (Up) Cowboys, NFC
1994/XXVIII - (Up) Cowboys, NFC
1995/XXIX - (Up) 49ers, NFC
1996/XXX - (Up) Cowboys, NFC
1997/XXXI - (Up) Packers, NFC
1998/XXXII - (Up) Broncos, AFC*
1999/XXXIII - (Up) Broncos, AFC*
2000/XXXIV - (Down) Rams, NFC*
2001/XXXV - (Down) Ravens, AFC
2002/XXXVI - (Down) Patriots, AFC
2003/XXXVII - (Up) Buccaneers, NFC
2004/XXXVIII - (Up) Patriots, AFC*
2005/XXXIX - (DNA) - Patriots, AFC
2006/XL - (DNA) - Steelers, Old NFL
2007/XLI - (DNA) - Colts, Old NFL
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